Smarter Politics

In this episode, we discuss part one of our recently released survey of likely 2018 voters in Colorado. Segment 1: Survey of Likely 2018 Voters in Colorado We begin by discussing decisions about survey weighting, and why we chose to weight the survey as we did. Simply put, a survey of likely 2018 voters is far more relevant for any political observer than a survey of registered voters. Among likely 2018 voters, 47% approve and 49% disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President. Among unaffiliated voters, 40% approve and 53% disapprove of the job he is doing. While these numbers could certainly be worse, we discuss how Republican candidates in Colorado would like to see stronger numbers for the President, since in a lot of ways the 2018 election will amount to a referendum on his first two years in office. The generic Congressional ballot shows that voters prefer the Democrat candidate to the Republican candidate by a 5-point margin, 39% to 34% respectively. Among unaffiliated voters, the generic De