Thinking Clearly
#39-Bob and Julia discuss the base rate fallacy, superforecasting, and regression to the mean
- Autor: Vários
- Narrador: Vários
- Editor: Podcast
- Duración: 0:52:05
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Sinopsis
This episode focuses on the power of understanding statistics and probability, including how avoiding base rate neglect can help you make better decisions. Also discussed are: superforecasting (what it takes to make more accurate predictions of future events) and the power of understanding the statistical principle of regression toward the mean.