Squawk Box Europe Express

Germany commits…EU leaders have agreed on a huge rescue package to mitigate the economic damage wrought by the pandemic with Berlin set to provide a substantial contribution. A leaked WHO report shows disappointing results from trials of Gilead’s touted Coronavirus drug, Remdesivir. In the U.S., as 16 states release their formal re-opening plans following lockdowns, President Trump warns that social distancing measures may need to be extended into early summer or beyond. Tech giant Intel abandons its 2020 guidance, warning that a demand surge for microchips may yet turn into a slump. In the UK, retail sales fall by a record 5.1 per cent in March.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Coronavirus casts a shadow over Q1 earnings…Credit Suisse reports a 75 per cent rise in first-quarter net profit amid exceptional levels of client activity. However, the Swiss lender has set aside CHF568m for potential loan losses. Daimler is warning of a 70 per cent drop in earnings due to a collapse in demand amid the Coronavirus pandemic. French hotel giant Accor says it expects April and May to be its toughest months as it waits for government guidance on lockdowns. The company posted a 17 per cent drop in Q1 revenues. In energy news, both Brent and WTI bounce back after falling to historic lows this week. U.S. prices have soared by as much as 40 per cent overnight with renewed tensions with Iran and optimism that production cuts will help ease oversupply bolstering the uptick.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Subscribers soar…streaming giant Netflix blows away expectations in the first quarter by signing up more than 15m new customers, thanks to strong demand for franchises like ‘Tiger King’ amid the global lockdown. But, the stock pares gains in after-hours trading after the company warns the pandemic-related boost is unlikely to last later in the year. Luxury giant Kering reports a 23 per cent fall in Gucci sales in the first quarter and cautions that it is too early to judge the recovery in the Chinese market following the Covid-19 outbreak. The plunge in oil prices accelerates with Brent bearing the brunt of the selling, also pushing U.S. and Asian stock markets lower. And in the U.S, the Senate passes a $500bn rescue package aimed at aiding small firms, hospitals and ramping up testing for Coronavirus.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

A historic collapse…the price of a barrel of WTI for May turned negative, the first time ever levels have fallen below zero. U.S. President Trump has said he is considering blocking Saudi imports to build up state reserves and support the price of crude. President Trump has also moved to temporarily suspend all immigration into the U.S. to protect lives and jobs from the Coronavirus pandemic. In aviation news, the virus claims a major scalp as Virgin Australia goes into voluntary administration after failing to secure a government aid package. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Reopening Row…President Trump has played down accusations from U.S. governors who say they lack the Coronavirus testing equipment to re-open their states. The May WTI contract slumps to its lowest level since 1999 on fears the U.S. is approaching peak storage capacity. The ECB is reportedly considering a European bad bank to avoid subsequent NPL crises but it faces opposition from Brussels to stick to state aid rules. Around Europe there are signs of lockdowns easing, with Germany reopening parts of its economy. Spain is extending confinement but easing restrictions while the UK cabinet is reportedly showing signs of disagreement over an exit strategy.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

China contracts…. The Chinese economy shrinks for the first time in nearly 30 years with Q1 GDP falling by 6.8 per cent as the Coronavirus outbreak weighs heavily on consumer spending and production. Retail sales in the mainland fall more than 15 per cent in March. U.S. futures, however, rise on the back of a positive report from a key drug trial, as Gilead Science says Covid-19 patients are recovering quickly after being treated with its Remdesivir medicine. President Trump publishes a three-point plan for re-opening the U.S., also pushing equities higher but U.S. bond yields fall for a third session running on the back of rising jobless claims. Luxury and cosmetics giants LVMH and L’Oréal are upbeat on a recovery in China despite both suffering falling sales amid global pandemic lockdowns in the first quarter. And car registrations in the EU plunge more than 50 per cent in March, with Italy the hardest-hit country.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://

Record retail rut…U.S. sales plunge almost 9 per cent while manufacturing hits a 74-year low, prompting recession fears. We speak to IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva, who says economic pain could yet intensify should the Coronavirus return for a second global circuit and cause Asian growth to grind to a halt. In the UK, the government is expected to extend the national shutdown until early May. This comes after Berlin announces a similar extension but Chancellor Merkel unveils plans for a cautious re-opening of the economy, beginning with some small businesses next week. Volkswagen will be restarting production in its German and Slovakian factories with other global plants to follow shortly after. In tech news, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai tells employees the company isn’t immune to the global pandemic and outlines plans to freeze certain investments, namely hiring new personnel.    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/p

No more cash…President Trump withdraws U.S. funding of the World Health Organisation, slamming the agency for fundamental failures in tackling the global Coronavirus pandemic and for having a pro-Chinese agenda. In response, Germany’s foreign minister says strengthening the WHO is the best investment. The IMF warns of the worst downturn since the Great Depression, but its chief economist tells CNBC that the global economy remains in far better shape to weather the storm than it did in the 1930s. In corporate news, bad-loan provisioning has weighed heavily on profits at U.S. lenders JPMorgan and Wells Fargo. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon believes the U.S. economy won’t fully reopen until the summer. Plus, a $25bn aid package is agreed to help the U.S. aviation sector after the Coronavirus outbreak cripples the travel industry.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

China trade…March import and export figures fall by far less than expected despite the impact of the pandemic shutdown. U.S. bank stocks slumped Monday – their first negative session in five days – with investors eagerly awaiting to see the impact of Coronavirus ahead of their Q1 results. The death toll from the virus in the UK tops 11,000 and there are fears that the country could be the worst affected in Europe. However France, Spain and Germany have begun to gradually consider their exit strategies from lockdown.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Stocks end the week in the green, with the Dow and S&P 500 gaining more than 10 per cent during the period. The Dow crossed the 23,000-point mark late in the session following news that Democrat Presidential candidate Bernie Sanders has decided to drop out of the race clearing the way for Joe Biden. The latest FOMC minutes show Fed officials believe the U.S. economic outlook is ‘profoundly uncertain’ and plan to keep rates near zero until the Coronavirus impact is weathered. Crude prices jump on hopes of an Opec+ agreement on output cuts on Thursday. In corporate news, Disney is enjoying a jump of 50m subscribers to its streaming service as a direct effect of the outbreak while coffee giant Starbucks is warning it will see a 50 per cent slump in Q2 earnings. Across Europe, countries are bracing for lockdown extensions as health officials say the peak of the virus has not yet been reached.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-

Trump slams WHO…President Trump threatens to withhold funding and criticises the World Health Organisation for its response to the Coronavirus, saying the agency is too China-centric. France becomes the fourth country to record more than 10,000 deaths from the pandemic with Parisian authorities intensifying the lockdown by banning citizens from all daytime outdoor exercise. In the UK fatalities continue to accelerate but health officials believe there are signs that the virus spread is slowing. Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s condition is described as stable following a second night in intensive care. After an all-night virtual conference euro zone finance ministers fail to reach agreement on the exact rescue measures of a virus rescue package for the bloc. And in energy news, crude rallies on hopes of an Opec+ output cut deal but the U.S. insists it won’t participate.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been moved to intensive care in hospital, after his Coronavirus symptoms worsen. Foreign minister Dominic Raab has stepped in to deputise. The Dow Jones rallied by 1,600 points on Monday with the retail sector leading the way following reports that infection numbers in the most stricken U.S. states have begun to level off. There are reports that Opec+ could agree on an output cut if the U.S. also slashes production. Euro zone finance ministers meet to discuss the EU’s financial rescue strategy but there are concerns that disagreement over Coronabonds could once again scupper any progress.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been hospitalised after showing persistent Coronavirus symptoms for the past ten days. Downing Street has said the move is a precautionary step. The rift between Saudi Arabia and Russia widens, delaying make-or-break talks on an oil output deal, with both sides blaming each other. President Trump has upped the ante on oil prices, threatening tariffs on crude imports in an attempt to safeguard U.S. producers from the sell-off. However, U.S. futures and Asian shares seem to shrug off the tension amid signs the pandemic is slowing. Virus cases in Italy, France and Spain decline but EU leaders call for a new marshall plan to mitigate the fallout from the Covid-19 outbreak. NBC News hears exclusively from Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte on his country’s struggle against the disease.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Striking a deal…President Trump sparks the biggest crude oil rally on record, telling CNBC’s Joe Kernen that he has managed to negotiate a deal to get Saudi Arabia and Russia to make significant production cuts as producers demand an Opec+ meeting. U.S. weekly jobless claims reach a record 6.6m, worse than expected. In China, service sector jobs for March are slashed at their fastest rate ever as consumer activity rebounds from a record low despite remaining in contraction. European Commission president Ursula Von Der Leyen has launched a €100bn short-term work scheme to aid those countries hardest hit by the economic fallout of the pandemic, which has now reached one million cases of Covid-19.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Hard times ahead…President Trump warns of a difficult few weeks to come as the U.S. death toll surges and up to 80 per cent of the country remains on lockdown. In energy news, oil bosses are set to meet with President Trump as Whiting Petroleum becomes the first oil major to file for bankruptcy. In the UK, British Airways will reportedly furlough up to 36,000 staff following talks with the airline union. Plus, Prime Minister Boris Johnson promises to boost Coronavirus testing after admitting only a fraction of frontline NHS staff have so far been checked.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

March market misery as the Dow closes the month in the red. It posted its worst first quarter on record. The energy sector was the big underperformer, plunging nearly 35 per cent in March, while US tech giants are among the few stocks to eke out gains. The markets should brace for more dismal data, as Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester told CNBC. In Europe, major indices lost more than 20 per cent this month. Britain's major banks are now ditching their dividends after the U.K.'s financial regulator joins its European counterparts to call on lenders to preserve cash. This comes as the death toll in the U.K. marks its biggest daily rise, while President Trump warns the virus could claim as many as 240,000 U.S. lives.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Beating expectations…Chinese factories rebound in March according to official PMI data. In energy news, oil prices have rallied from 18-year lows after Russia and the U.S. agree to hold talks as Saudi Arabia boosts production. U.S. tech stocks lead a Wall Street surge on Monday with Microsoft seeing sharp increased demand for its cloud services. And in banking news, Credit Suisse has announced it may cut bonuses this year but will still maintain its dividend, going against decisions by other European lenders to halt payouts until October.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Longer lockdown? President Trump abandons his predictions that the U.S. will be open for business by Easter and extends restrictions until 30th April. German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz says the ESM bailout fund remains the correct instrument for shoring up EU economies in the wake of the Coronavirus pandemic. The UK is bracing for potentially tougher quarantine measures amid reports that the lockdown could stretch out until June. And in corporate news, Unicredit becomes the first Italian bank to suspend its dividend and share buyback scheme as the ECB advises lenders to halt payouts until October.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. overtakes China and Italy reporting the world’s highest number of Covid-19 cases. New York is the epicentre and there are warnings the health system there is fraying. The dollar heads toward its largest decline in a decade but the Dow posts its best three-day rally in more than 90 years, after the US Senate passes the $2tn stimulus package. Federal Reserve president Jerome Powell tells NBC that the U.S. is already likely to be in recession but insists that the central bank has enough ammunition to weather the Coronavirus pandemic, as its balance sheet grows to $5tn. The G20 nations pledge to inject that same figure into the global economy in a rare united response to mitigate the fallout from the crisis. And finally, we speak to the CEO of pharma giant Novartis, who tells the programme he is seeing unprecedented collaboration between the world's biggest healthcare names. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my

Stimulus Plans. The mammoth U.S. Coronavirus stimulus bill is passed as President Trump voices hope that large parts of the economy could be ready to reopen by Easter. The Dow posts a second day of gains for the first time since last month. Reports of a total lockdown this weekend in Tokyo causes the Nikkei to fall while Singapore’s GDP growth shrinks 2.2 per cent. In Europe, nine EU nations call for the creation of ‘Coronabonds’ to offset the economic damage caused by the outbreak. In the UK, the BoE and the Treasury look set to approve more measures to support the British economy.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.